TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Illinois State Redbirds vs. Valparaiso Beacons (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Illinois State Redbirds vs. Valparaiso Beacons (W)

Volume:
$17,133

Illinois St.

 - Kalshi

Illinois St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Illinois St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,447
N/A
N/A
$10,283
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Illinois State Redbirds vs. Valparaiso Beacons (W)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,459
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Valparaiso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,227
N/A
N/A
$5,088
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Illinois State Redbirds and Valparaiso Beacons scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this matchup, with different resolution structures across platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically incomplete: both Illinois State win and Valparaiso win resolve to Yes, with no defined No resolution path. This creates a data integrity failure that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies the No resolution condition. Polymarket is the reliable source: it resolves to winner identity (Illinois State Redbirds or Valparaiso Beacons) based on final score including overtime. If you must trade, assume Kalshi's No resolves only on cancellation without makeup, but request explicit confirmation from Kalshi support.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-identity resolution. Resolves to Illinois State Redbirds if Illinois State wins; Valparaiso Beacons if Valparaiso wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
  • Kalshi: Stated logic: Yes if Illinois St. wins; Yes if Valparaiso wins. No resolution condition is undefined. This creates a logical contradiction—both possible game outcomes map to Yes, leaving no path to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.