TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Illinois State Redbirds and Northern Iowa Panthers scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds (-4.5, -5.5, -6.5 for Northern Iowa), and total points over/under at two different lines (130.5 and 131.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Northern Iowa win and Illinois State win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and creating data integrity failure. Polymarket and Kalshi spread/total markets are unified and consistent.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi moneyline as non-tradeable due to logical impossibility. Polymarket moneyline, all spread markets (-4.5, -5.5, -6.5), and all total markets (O/U 130.5, O/U 131.5) are safe and consistently structured across platforms. Prioritize Polymarket for moneyline; spreads and totals can be cross-referenced between platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market logic is contradictory: both Northern Iowa win and Illinois State win resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable binary. Quote: 'If Northern Iowa wins...resolves to Yes. If Illinois St. wins...resolves to Yes.' This violates basic market logic.Polymarket:
Moneyline market is logically sound: resolves to team name of winner (Illinois State Redbirds or Northern Iowa Panthers) with clear differentiation. Includes cancellation clause: 50-50 split if game canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the Illinois State Redbirds win, the market will resolve to Illinois State Redbirds. If the Northern Iowa Panthers win, the market will resolve to Northern Iowa Panthers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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