TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Illinois State Redbirds and Evansville Aces scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules contain a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Illinois St. wins OR Evansville wins) are mapped to Yes, making it impossible for the market to ever resolve to No. This violates basic binary market logic and renders the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until this is clarified. The market cannot function as written. Polymarket's logic is sound: Illinois State Redbirds wins resolves to that outcome, Evansville Aces wins resolves to that outcome. Use Polymarket as your reference. Request urgent clarification from Kalshi support on whether this is a template error or intentional.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both Illinois St. win and Evansville win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where no outcome can resolve to No. Key quote: 'If Illinois St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Evansville wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Standard winner-take-all binary: Illinois State Redbirds win resolves to Illinois State Redbirds, Evansville Aces win resolves to Evansville Aces. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If the Illinois State Redbirds win, the market will resolve to Illinois State Redbirds. If the Evansville Aces win, the market will resolve to Evansville Aces.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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