TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins
Volume:
$1,562,980
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Illinois Fighting Illini and Maryland Terrapins scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-14.5 and -15.5), and multiple over/under totals (143.5 through 146.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Maryland win and Illinois win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket's moneyline and all derivative markets (spreads, totals) use standard binary or ternary logic with no contradictions.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form. The resolution logic guarantees Yes regardless of game outcome, indicating a critical documentation or contract design error. All Polymarket markets and Kalshi spread/total markets are logically sound and can be traded with confidence pending game completion.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Maryland win and Illinois win resolve to Yes. This is a logical impossibility for a binary market. No explicit No outcome is defined. Quote: 'If Maryland wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard binary logic: Illinois win resolves to Illinois Fighting Illini, Maryland win resolves to Maryland Terrapins. Spread and total markets use consistent ternary logic (Illinois/Maryland/50-50 on cancellation). Quote: 'If the Illinois Fighting Illini win, the market will resolve to Illinois Fighting Illini. If the Maryland Terrapins win, the market will resolve to Maryland Terrapins.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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