TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins
kalshi
polymarket

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins

Volume:
$1,562,980

Illinois

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 9, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Illinois

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$634,984
N/A
N/A
$512,032
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 145.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,798
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 146.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,907
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 144.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,095
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 143.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$419
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Maryland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$844,082
N/A
N/A
$638,682
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -15.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,803
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Illinois Fighting Illini and Maryland Terrapins scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-14.5 and -15.5), and multiple over/under totals (143.5 through 146.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Maryland win and Illinois win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket's moneyline and all derivative markets (spreads, totals) use standard binary or ternary logic with no contradictions.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form. The resolution logic guarantees Yes regardless of game outcome, indicating a critical documentation or contract design error. All Polymarket markets and Kalshi spread/total markets are logically sound and can be traded with confidence pending game completion.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Maryland win and Illinois win resolve to Yes. This is a logical impossibility for a binary market. No explicit No outcome is defined. Quote: 'If Maryland wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard binary logic: Illinois win resolves to Illinois Fighting Illini, Maryland win resolves to Maryland Terrapins. Spread and total markets use consistent ternary logic (Illinois/Maryland/50-50 on cancellation). Quote: 'If the Illinois Fighting Illini win, the market will resolve to Illinois Fighting Illini. If the Maryland Terrapins win, the market will resolve to Maryland Terrapins.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.