TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 7:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Schoolkate and Paul Jubb in the Ilkley, originally scheduled for June 9, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolkate' if Tristan Schoolkate advances against Paul Jubb. This market will resolve to 'Paul Jubb' if Paul Jubb advances against Tristan Schoolkate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket for this Ilkley match often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker pricing models. Sportsbooks factor in margin and risk management, while prediction markets aggregate real-time belief from a global pool of participants. The Polymarket odds may move faster or more dramatically in response to player news, recent form, or injury updates. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional oddsmakers about the Schoolkate versus Jubb outcome.
On Polymarket, the Schoolkate vs Jubb match is priced as a binary outcome contract reflecting the probability traders assign to the match result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices are determined by supply and demand: as more traders buy shares predicting a specific outcome, that outcome's price rises, and vice versa. The current market price directly translates to an implied probability. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before Jun 16, 2026, allowing the price to fluctuate based on new information, betting patterns, or shifting confidence in either player's chances at Ilkley.
The Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb market resolves at Jun 16, 2026, marking the end of trading and the settlement of all positions. Resolution is determined by the official match result recorded by the tournament organizers. Once the match concludes and the winner is confirmed, the market settles automatically, paying out traders who held the winning outcome at full value and expiring worthless for those on the losing side. This ensures that prediction market prices reflect genuine belief in the match outcome up until the final moment of trading.
Several factors could shift odds for the Schoolkate versus Jubb match before Jun 16, 2026. Recent tournament results or head-to-head records between the two players often trigger price movement as traders update their expectations. Injury announcements, withdrawal news, or changes in player form leading up to Ilkley will influence market sentiment. Court conditions, weather forecasts, and draw positioning can also affect perceived advantage. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting volume from sharp traders may accelerate price swings. Each of these signals provides traders with new information to reassess their positions in the prediction market.