TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 10:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tereza Martincova and Katie Swan in the Ilkley, originally scheduled for June 9, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tereza Martincova' if Tereza Martincova advances against Katie Swan. This market will resolve to 'Katie Swan' if Katie Swan advances against Tereza Martincova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker models. Sportsbooks incorporate margin and risk management, while prediction markets aggregate real-time belief through continuous trading. For the Martincova versus Swan matchup, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional bettors and retail traders diverge. Prediction markets may react faster to breaking news or injury updates, creating temporary gaps that traders exploit.
On Polymarket, the Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—Martincova win or Swan win—has a share price between 0 and 1 cent, where the sum equals 1 cent. As traders buy shares in one outcome, its price rises and the alternative falls. The current top outcome reflects the highest implied probability. Prices update instantly with each trade, and the final settlement price at Jun 16, 2026 determines payouts.
The Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan market resolves on Jun 16, 2026 following the completion of the match. Resolution is determined by the official result recorded by the tournament organizers and confirmed through standard sports data sources. Once the match concludes and the winner is verified, the market settles to reflect the actual outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless.
Several factors could shift odds for the Martincova versus Swan matchup before Jun 16, 2026. Recent tournament results, player rankings updates, or head-to-head record announcements may influence trader sentiment. Injury reports or withdrawal news would trigger sharp repricing. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and draw announcements closer to the event often prompt significant trading activity. Player form trends, coaching changes, or public statements about fitness can also move the market. Real-time match momentum during play may create final trading surges as the event unfolds.