TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and Jacob Fearnley in the Ilkley, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against Jacob Fearnley. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Luca Nardi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket for this Nardi vs Fearnley match often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds due to different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks adjust lines to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets reflect direct trader conviction and real-money risk. Comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbooks can reveal where the market sees value or disagreement on match outcomes. Such discrepancies may indicate analytical edges or market inefficiencies worth monitoring.
The Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the completed match between these two players at the Ilkley tournament. The market tracks whether the match concludes and which player emerges victorious. Traders should monitor official tournament announcements and match scheduling to anticipate resolution timing and any potential delays or postponements that could affect settlement.
Several factors could shift odds for the Nardi vs Fearnley match before Jun 15, 2026. Recent player form, injury reports, head-to-head records, and surface conditions at Ilkley will influence trader positioning. Tournament draws, seeding changes, and momentum from earlier rounds may also impact perceived match likelihood. Weather delays, player withdrawals, or unexpected performance in warm-up events could trigger rapid repricing. Active traders monitor tennis news and player social media for early signals that might move market sentiment.