TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 12:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Filippo Romano in the Ilkley, originally scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 12:05PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Filippo Romano. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Romano' if Filippo Romano advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Filippo Romano in the Ilkley, originally scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 12:05PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Filippo Romano. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Romano' if Filippo Romano advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders wagering real money on outcomes they believe will occur. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many participants, which can sometimes offer a more efficient or forward-looking view than a sportsbook's static line, especially as match day approaches and new developments emerge.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the aggregate confidence of all participants—higher prices indicate stronger collective belief in that result. As traders respond to news, player updates, or shifting expectations, the odds adjust in real time, creating a dynamic price discovery process that incorporates the latest available information about the match.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official result of the tennis contest between the two players. Resolution occurs after the match is completed and confirmed through established sports reporting channels, ensuring accuracy before the market settles and traders receive their payouts based on the verified outcome.
Several factors could shift odds before the match takes place. Announcements about player injuries, fitness levels, or recent tournament performance often trigger significant price movement. Court conditions, weather forecasts, and head-to-head records may also influence trader sentiment. News coverage, expert commentary, and betting patterns from other venues can sway perception. Additionally, any last-minute changes to the schedule or player withdrawals would cause rapid repricing as the market recalibrates its probability estimates based on the new information.