TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 3:57 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between IK Start and Viking FK, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "IK Start" if IK Start score more goals than Viking FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if IK Start and Viking FK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Viking FK" if Viking FK score more goals than IK Start in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between IK Start and Viking FK, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "IK Start" if IK Start score more goals than Viking FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if IK Start and Viking FK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Viking FK" if Viking FK score more goals than IK Start in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets allow traders to set prices through supply and demand. This market aggregates the collective belief of traders betting real money on the outcome, which can sometimes offer sharper or more efficient pricing than sportsbooks. However, sportsbooks may adjust faster to late-breaking news or injury reports, and their odds include built-in margins. Comparing the two can reveal where market participants see value relative to conventional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome, and the cumulative volume on each side determines the current probability displayed to users. As more capital flows toward one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls. This mechanism ensures continuous liquidity and transparent price discovery, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes. The final price reflects the aggregate confidence of all active traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half period only. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, after official match data has been confirmed and the platform has processed the settlement.
Several factors can shift odds before the match concludes. Team news—such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp repricing. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if one team dominates early, traders may reassess second-half momentum and adjust their positions accordingly. Red cards, tactical substitutions, or momentum swings during the match itself will prompt rapid trading activity. Weather conditions, crowd energy, and psychological factors (such as trailing teams pushing harder) also influence trader expectations. Real-time score updates and commentary flow into the market continuously, allowing participants to refine their forecasts right up until the second half begins.