TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between IK Start and Rosenborg BK, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "IK Start" if IK Start are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rosenborg BK" if Rosenborg BK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between IK Start and Rosenborg BK, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "IK Start" if IK Start are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rosenborg BK" if Rosenborg BK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders putting real capital at stake based on their conviction. For this matchup, comparing the odds you see here to those at major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd on each venue believes the edge lies. Prediction markets tend to be efficient at incorporating late-breaking information, so significant gaps may highlight valuable opportunities.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregate belief of all participants trading the contract, with each outcome priced as a percentage probability. As traders buy or sell shares of a particular outcome, the price shifts to rebalance supply and demand, ensuring the market continuously reprices to reflect new information and sentiment around which team will score first.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regulation play. Once the event is confirmed through reliable sources, the market will settle automatically, paying out to holders of the winning outcome and returning nothing to those who backed the losing side.
Key catalysts that could shift odds include team news such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players, recent form and goal-scoring trends for both sides, and tactical adjustments announced closer to kickoff. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage factors, and head-to-head historical patterns also influence trader positioning. As the match approaches, late lineup confirmations and any unexpected roster changes will likely trigger repricing. Live betting sentiment and early match momentum can also drive significant moves in the final hours before the opening whistle.