TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between IK Sirius and Mjallby AIF, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "IK Sirius" if IK Sirius are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mjallby AIF" if Mjallby AIF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between IK Sirius and Mjallby AIF, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "IK Sirius" if IK Sirius are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mjallby AIF" if Mjallby AIF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are priced by traders themselves through supply and demand. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many participants rather than a single operator's risk model. Over time, prediction markets have shown accuracy comparable to or better than traditional sportsbooks, especially when liquidity is high and the event is closely watched.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of each outcome by buying and selling shares, with the current market price reflecting the aggregate belief about which team will score first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into one outcome, the higher its price rises; conversely, selling pressure lowers it. This continuous auction mechanism ensures prices adjust instantly to new information, breaking news, or shifts in team form, injuries, or lineup changes leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal in regulation time. Once the event is complete and the first goal is confirmed through official match reporting, this market will settle to reflect the actual result, and traders holding the winning outcome will receive their payout.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star forwards or defensive changes, recent form and goal-scoring trends, head-to-head history, and lineup announcements closer to kick-off. Weather conditions and pitch quality can also influence early attacking play. Betting syndicates and sharp traders often move the market on new information before the general public reacts. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and late-breaking tactical adjustments by either manager may trigger significant price swings in the final hours before the match begins.