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2,388,728,490

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$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF?

Volume:
$506,598

GameTie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

GameTie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$95,045
N/A
N/A
$52,208
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,062
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

GameSirius

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$194,320
N/A
N/A
$80,579
Settled
No
polymarket

IK Sirius

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

GameMjallby

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$170,979
N/A
N/A
$89,353
Settled
No
polymarket

Mjallby AIF

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Allsvenskan (Swedish top-tier soccer) match between IK Sirius and Mjallby AIF scheduled for July 3, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing three mutually exclusive outcomes: Sirius win, Mjallby win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets lack explicit postponement and cancellation resolution rules, while Polymarket provides detailed contingency logic. Both platforms agree on the core outcome evaluation (90 minutes plus stoppage time, official Allsvenskan source), but differ in edge-case handling.Hero tip: Confirm Kalshi's cancellation and postponement policy before trading. If the match is postponed, Polymarket markets remain open; Kalshi's behavior is undocumented. If canceled entirely, Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No, but Kalshi's outcome markets lack stated resolution guidance.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Draw Yes/No, Sirius Win Yes/No, Mjallby Win Yes/No). Postponement: markets remain open. Cancellation with no makeup: draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No. Resolution source: official Allsvenskan statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Tie, Sirius Win, Mjallby Win). No explicit postponement or cancellation rules documented. Implicit assumption: one outcome will resolve Yes. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Allsvenskan game, scheduled for Friday, July 3, 2026 between IK Sirius and Mjallby AIF.

Kalshi

This event covers the professional Allsvenskan soccer match between Sirius and Mjallby originally scheduled for July 3, 2026. Resolution is based on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Three separate markets resolve based on the outcome: one for a Sirius victory, one for a Mjallby victory, and one for a tie. If the match ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price determined in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed sportsbook lines. Market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, updated continuously as new information emerges. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set fixed odds and manage liability. Prediction market prices often incorporate sharper analysis and real-time sentiment, though liquidity and volume can vary. Comparing this market's odds to traditional sportsbooks may reveal inefficiencies or confirm consensus views on the matchup.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in user base, liquidity depth, fee structures, and market-making dynamics can cause the same outcome to trade at different odds across venues. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different participant demographics or risk appetites. Additionally, timing lags in order flow and varying levels of arbitrage activity mean prices don't always converge instantly. These gaps create opportunities for informed traders to identify mispricings before the event resolves.

Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, weather conditions on match day, and any late-breaking tactical changes. Betting market shifts at traditional sportsbooks can also influence prediction market prices as sharp bettors adjust positions. Social media sentiment, expert analysis, and betting syndicates' activity may drive volume spikes. Monitor official team communications and sports news outlets for developments that could reshape trader expectations before the final whistle.