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IF Brommapojkarna vs. IK Sirius
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of IF Brommapojkarna vs. IK Sirius?

Volume:
$390,964

Sirius

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 12:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sirius

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$153,257
N/A
N/A
$92,483
Settled
Yes
polymarket

IK Sirius

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$100,313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brommapojkarna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,288
N/A
N/A
$33,773
Settled
No
polymarket

IF Brommapojkarna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,622
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,612
N/A
N/A
$30,069
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (IF Brommapojkarna vs. IK Sirius)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Allsvenskan soccer match between IF Brommapojkarna and IK Sirius scheduled for July 12, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Brommapojkarna win, draw, and Sirius win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains a unique cancellation clause (resolves YES if game canceled with no makeup) that contradicts the standard three-outcome mutual exclusivity model used by Kalshi, where cancellation would typically resolve all outcomes to NO.Hero tip: Traders should assume Kalshi's cancellation rule follows standard sports betting (all outcomes NO on full cancellation) unless explicitly stated otherwise. This creates a potential arbitrage risk if one platform's draw/tie market behaves differently than the other during a cancellation event. Monitor for official Kalshi clarification before significant capital deployment.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers three separate binary markets covering Brommapojkarna win, draw, and Sirius win. Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no makeup game. All markets reference official Allsvenskan statistics as primary source, with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting consensus. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'
  • Kalshi: Offers three mutually exclusive outcome markets (Brommapojkarna wins, Sirius wins, Tie). No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. Standard sports betting convention would resolve all three to NO on full cancellation. Scope is identical: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Allsvenskan game, scheduled for Sunday, July 12, 2026 between IF Brommapojkarna and IK Sirius.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Brommapojkarna vs Sirius Allsvenskan match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration of extra time or penalties. Each outcome—Brommapojkarna win, Sirius win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original July 12, 2026 date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds reflect real-money positions from thousands of participants rather than a single operator's margin. Comparing this market's pricing to major sportsbooks can reveal whether public betting sentiment aligns with or diverges from professional oddsmakers.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and regulatory frameworks that influence how prices evolve. Polymarket may draw more casual retail participants, while Kalshi appeals to institutional traders with different risk appetites. Funding mechanisms, fee structures, and UI design also shape order flow. These structural differences mean identical events can trade at meaningfully different odds across venues, creating opportunities for informed traders to identify mispricings.

Team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical announcements—typically drives significant repricing in sports prediction markets. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can shift trader conviction as the match approaches. Weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking lineup confirmations often trigger volatility in the final hours. Major betting syndicates or sharp money flowing into one side may also signal new information, prompting other traders to adjust positions and move the market.