TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
IEM Rio 2026 Winner
Volume:
$823,410
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
IEM Rio 2026 is a Counter-Strike esports tournament organized by ESL, scheduled for April 13–19, 2026 in Rio de Janeiro. This event group contains 18 binary markets, each asking whether a specific team will win the tournament, plus an 'other team' catch-all market. The resolution hinges on identifying the official tournament winner as declared by ESL or corroborated by credible reporting sources like Liquipedia.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official winner of IEM Rio 2026 as declared by ESL or credible consensus sources like Liquipedia, with exactly one team winning the tournament and resolving one market to YES.
Primary resolution logic:
Official ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/) tournament results, with Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) as secondary consensus source.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if and only if the named team wins IEM Rio 2026.
- Market resolves NO if the named team does not win the tournament.
- Exactly ONE team-specific market in the group will resolve YES.
- The Polymarket 'another team' option resolves YES only if a team not explicitly listed wins the tournament.
- If tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or no winner declared by deadline, Polymarket resolves to Other.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Tournament Postponement or Cancellation: If IEM Rio 2026 is postponed beyond April 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled entirely, Polymarket resolves to Other. Kalshi resolution logic does not explicitly address this scenario and may require clarification.
- Co-Champions or Multiple Winners: If multiple teams are declared co-champions, Polymarket resolves in favor of the team whose name comes first alphabetically. Kalshi does not address this scenario.
- Unlisted Team Victory: If a team not explicitly listed on either platform wins, Polymarket 'another team' market resolves YES, while Kalshi has no corresponding market and would require manual resolution or dispute.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official ESL announcement of the IEM Rio 2026 champion, with the deadline of April 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET for Polymarket. Kalshi does not specify a deadline.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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