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IEM Cologne Major 2026: Reach the Grand Final
kalshi
limitless
polymarket

IEM Cologne Major 2026: Reach the Grand Final

Volume:
$452,040

Falcons

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 20, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Falcons

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$64,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Team Falcons

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,985
N/A
N/A
$4,286
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FURIA

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$54,645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FURIA

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,833
N/A
N/A
$7,228
Settled
Yes
polymarket

G2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

G2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,667
N/A
N/A
$1,469
Settled
No
polymarket

Aurora

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aurora Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,220
N/A
N/A
$6,726
Settled
No
polymarket

Spirit

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,791
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Spirit

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,707
N/A
N/A
$4,929
Settled
No
polymarket

MOUZ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Heroic

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vitality

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vitality

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,271
N/A
N/A
$977
Settled
No
limitless

Vitality to reach the Grand Final of IEM Cologne Major 2026?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$50
$823
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Natus Vincere

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Natus Vincere

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
No
polymarket

Astralis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Astralis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$945
N/A
N/A
$945
Settled
No
polymarket

GamerLegion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,862
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

GamerLegion

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

The MongolZ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Mongolz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
polymarket

PARIVISION

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,449
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

PARIVISION

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 45

Description

This event group covers markets predicting which teams will reach the Grand Final of IEM Cologne Major 2026, a premier Counter-Strike esports tournament scheduled for June 2–21, 2026. Markets span multiple platforms tracking individual team qualification outcomes, with resolution dependent on official tournament results published by ESL/HLTV.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All three platforms (Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket) employ identical binary logic: a team either qualifies for the Grand Final (YES) or does not (NO), with consistent fallback rules for cancellation and publication deadlines.Primary resolution logic: Official ESL/Intel Extreme Masters tournament organizer (https://pro.eslgaming.com/) with secondary consensus from HLTV Grand Final match page (https://www.hltv.org/matches/2395002/iem-cologne-major-2026-grand-final-iem-cologne-major-2026) and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves YES if the specified team is listed as one of the two participating teams in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 Grand Final
  • Market resolves NO if the specified team does not qualify for the Grand Final
  • Market resolves NO if IEM Cologne Major 2026 is canceled before Grand Final teams are determined
  • Market resolves NO if official Grand Final team list is not published by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC
  • Ties in tournament standings are broken according to official IEM Cologne Major 2026 tournament rules
  • Tournament postponement or rescheduling does not trigger early resolution; markets remain open until Grand Final teams are officially listed

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation: If IEM Cologne Major 2026 is canceled at any point before the Grand Final teams are officially published, all markets in this group resolve to NO.
  • Publication Deadline Miss: If official Grand Final participants are not published by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC (or 11:59 PM ET per Polymarket), all markets resolve to NO regardless of tournament status.
  • Tournament Postponement: If the tournament is postponed or rescheduled beyond June 21, 2026, markets remain open and unresolved until Grand Final teams are officially listed, provided publication occurs before the June 30 deadline.
  • Tie-Breaking: Any ties in tournament standings that affect Grand Final qualification are resolved according to the official IEM Cologne Major 2026 tournament ruleset published by ESL.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official publication of IEM Cologne Major 2026 Grand Final participants by ESL/HLTV, no later than June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC. The Grand Final match itself is scheduled for June 21, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for the Grand Final of the IEM Cologne Major 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026. Ties in standings will be broken according to the official tournament rules. If the IEM Cologne Major 2026 is canceled, postponed, or if the official list of IEM Cologne Major 2026 Grand Final participants is not published before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.

Kalshi

If Vitality is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If Team Falcons is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If Natus Vincere is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If MOUZ is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Mongolz is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aurora Gaming is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If FURIA is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If PARIVISION is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If GamerLegion is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If B8 is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If BetBoom Team is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If MIBR is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If M80 is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If Heroic is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If NRG is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If BIG is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sharks is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If FlyQuest is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gaimin Gladiators is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If THUNDER dOWNUNDER is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lynn Vision is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sinners is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If Liquid is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If TYLOO is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If Spirit is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If Legacy is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If Astralis is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If G2 is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If FUT Esports is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If paiN is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If 9z is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes. If Monte is one of the teams to qualify for the Grand Final at 2026 IEM Cologne, then the market resolves to Yes.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if Vitality is listed as one of the two participating teams in the Grand Final of IEM Cologne Major 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." The IEM Cologne Major 2026 Grand Final is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV Grand Final match page: https://www.hltv.org/matches/2395002/iem-cologne-major-2026-grand-final-iem-cologne-major-2026 If IEM Cologne Major 2026 is postponed or rescheduled, this market will remain open until the Grand Final teams are listed on HLTV, but no later than June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC. If the Grand Final teams are not listed by that time, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 is canceled before the Grand Final teams are listed on HLTV, this market will resolve to "NO."

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading volume across Polymarket and Kalshi for whether specific esports teams will reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026. It displays the consensus probability each team advances, current market prices, and 24-hour trading activity. By tracking multiple platforms simultaneously, you see how different prediction markets price the same outcome, identify where consensus is strongest, and spot divergences that may signal shifting expectations about team performance, roster changes, or tournament dynamics leading up to the event.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect real-time crowd sentiment and are updated continuously by traders with direct financial stakes. Traditional sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, updating less frequently and sometimes with wider spreads. For IEM Cologne Major 2026 Grand Final predictions, prediction markets may respond faster to roster announcements, recent tournament results, or team form changes. Comparing the two reveals whether bookmakers are pricing teams more conservatively or aggressively than the crowd-sourced prediction market consensus.

Key catalysts include roster changes or player transfers affecting team strength, performance at qualifying tournaments or regional competitions, injury or availability announcements, and head-to-head matchups in the group stage that reveal form. Meta shifts in the game, coaching changes, and public statements from team management can also shift market sentiment. As the tournament date approaches, odds tighten around teams with proven track records and recent momentum, while underdogs may see support if they demonstrate unexpected strength in warm-up events.