TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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IEM Cologne Major 2026: Most AWP Kills
limitless
polymarket

IEM Cologne Major 2026: Most AWP Kills

Volume:
$15,931

s1zzi

 - Polymarket

s1zzi - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 21, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

s1zzi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,923
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Will any player get 120+ total kills in Stage 2?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$50
$814
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

m0NESY

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

cobraze

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,086
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

meyern

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jame

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$998
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ZywOo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

insani

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$751
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

sh1ro

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$708
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

maxxkor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

NiKo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

molodoy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

yxngstxr

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

dziugss

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

gr1ks

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

donk

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Player D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Player B

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Player A

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Player C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This event group contains two distinct market types: (1) a binary question on Limitless asking whether any player will record 120+ total kills in Stage 2 only, and (2) multiple Polymarket questions asking which player will have the most AWP kills across the entire IEM Cologne Major 2026 tournament. The markets differ fundamentally in scope (Stage 2 vs. full tournament), metric (total kills vs. AWP kills), and player selection.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct market types with different scopes (Stage 2 only vs. full tournament), different metrics (total kills vs. AWP kills), different resolution sources (HLTV leaderboard vs. YouTube + HLTV round-by-round), and different cancellation deadlines.Hero tip: Treat these as two independent markets. Limitless is a binary threshold bet on Stage 2 aggregate performance; Polymarket is a player-ranking bet on AWP specialization across the entire event. Monitor both HLTV leaderboards and ESL CS YouTube. Be aware that Stage 2 cancellation (after start) triggers different logic than full-tournament cancellation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Limitless: Binary YES/NO on whether any player records 120+ total kills during Stage 2 only (June 6-9, 2026). Resolution source: HLTV Total kills leaderboard for Stage 2 event ID 9029. Resolves NO if leaderboard unavailable by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC. If Stage 2 is canceled after start or postponed past June 30, resolves based on HLTV data at time of event status change.
  • Polymarket: Categorical resolution on which player has the most AWP kills across all maps during the full tournament (June 2-21, 2026). Multiple questions cover individual players (maxxkor, sh1ro, cobraze, insani, gr1ks, yxngstxr, Jame, s1zzi, donk, ZywOo, dziugss, NiKo, m0NESY, meyern, molodoy) plus 'Other' and placeholder options. Ties broken alphabetically by last name. Resolves 'No' if tournament canceled or not aired by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Primary source: ESL CS YouTube livestream + HLTV round-by-round stats.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to which player records the most AWP kills across all maps played during the IEM Cologne Major 2026 tournament, scheduled to take place from June 2 - June 21, 2026. If two or more players are tied for the most AWP kills, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If an unlisted player records the most AWP kills across all maps, this market will resolve to "Other". If IEM Cologne Major 2026 is definitively canceled, or otherwise is not aired by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be the official YouTube livestream on (https://www.youtube.com/@ESLCS), and supplemented by HLTV.org round-by-round stats (https://www.hltv.org/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Limitless typically reflect sharper, more granular odds than traditional sportsbooks because they allow continuous price discovery and real-money trading by informed participants. Sportsbooks often lag behind market consensus and may carry wider margins. For IEM Cologne Major 2026 AWP kills, prediction markets aggregate live tournament data, player form, and team composition changes more dynamically. Traders can arbitrage discrepancies between prediction platforms and sportsbook lines, though sportsbook coverage of esports niche props remains limited compared to mainstream sports.

Key catalysts include roster changes or player injuries affecting top AWP candidates, team qualification results that determine which squads attend, and pre-tournament scrimmage performance leaks. During the event itself, Stage 1 and Stage 2 results will shift odds as actual kill counts accumulate and player form becomes visible. Meta shifts in weapon economy, map pool announcements, and coaching adjustments can alter AWP usage rates. Major upsets or breakout performances by underdog players will reprrice markets rapidly. News of player substitutions or tactical pivots weeks before the event will also influence consensus odds on Polymarket and Limitless.