TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 1:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Idaho will win the college football game against Cal Poly by more than 2.5 points. On Kalshi, the current probability that Idaho wins by over 2.5 points stands at 83.0%. The resolution source is the official result of the Idaho vs Cal Poly game originally scheduled for August 28, 2026. Watch for the game result on August 29, 2026, to determine the market outcome.
The event consists of multiple markets, each corresponding to a specific point-spread threshold for the Idaho vs Cal Poly college football game scheduled for August 28, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team achieves a victory margin exceeding the specified point differential. For Idaho markets, this means Idaho must win by more than the stated points; for Cal Poly markets, Cal Poly must win by more than the stated points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of team performance compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets allow participants to bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to tighter or divergent spreads. Traders may see shifts in odds based on new data, injuries, or changing team form, offering a dynamic alternative to static sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the market reflecting the collective wisdom of participants. The current top outcome represents what most traders believe is the likely spread result, adjusted for liquidity and recent trades. Volume and price movements show how market participants are reacting to new information as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be calculated based on the official game result, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor official score updates and reputable sports news sources for confirmation as the game concludes.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions could shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, strong pre-game performances in practice sessions, updates from team announcements, and broader betting trends may influence trader sentiment. As the game draws nearer, any new information that affects the competitive balance between the teams can cause noticeable price adjustments in the market.