TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Idaho Vandals vs. Portland State Vikings
Volume:
$532,180
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between the University of Idaho Vandals and Portland State University Vikings scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-3.5 and -4.5), and multiple over/under totals (142.5, 143.5, 144.5, 145.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Idaho victory and Portland State victory map to Yes resolution, with no specification for cancellation or postponement. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates irreconcilable conflict with Polymarket's clear binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) are internally consistent and resolvable. Confirm with Kalshi whether the moneyline is a data entry error or if additional resolution states exist.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market maps both possible game outcomes to Yes: 'If Idaho wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Portland St. wins...resolves to Yes'. No cancellation, postponement, or tie handling specified. This creates a logical impossibility: there is no scenario that resolves to No.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Idaho Vandals if Idaho wins, Portland State Vikings if Portland State wins. Spread markets (-3.5, -4.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Over/under markets (142.5, 143.5, 144.5, 145.5) resolve based on combined score. All markets explicitly handle postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 resolution). Key Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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