TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Idaho Vandals vs. Oklahoma Sooners (W)
Volume:
$1,270,000
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Idaho Vandals and Oklahoma Sooners on March 20 at 10:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Idaho win OR Oklahoma win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to either 'Idaho Vandals' or 'Oklahoma Sooners' based on the actual game result, with proper handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade on Kalshi's version of this market — it contains a critical logical error where both outcomes trigger YES resolution. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent binary resolution logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification or exit immediately.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if Oklahoma wins AND YES if Idaho wins, violating basic binary market logic. The rules state 'If Oklahoma wins... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Idaho wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' making every possible outcome resolve YES and leaving no NO resolution path.
- Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves to a named winner ('Idaho Vandals' or 'Oklahoma Sooners') based on final score, with explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). This is a categorical outcome market, not a binary YES/NO market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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