TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Idaho Vandals vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Idaho Vandals vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (W)

Volume:
$3,700

Idaho

 - Kalshi

Idaho - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 27, 2026

Closed: Feb 26, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Idaho

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,229
N/A
N/A
$1,951
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Idaho Vandals vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (W)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northern Arizona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,350
N/A
N/A
$1,152
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Idaho Vandals and Northern Arizona Lumberjacks scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including any overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Northern Arizona win and Idaho win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), leaving the No outcome unreachable. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi. The market as written cannot resolve to No under any circumstance, violating basic binary market design. Polymarket's structure is correct and resolvable. Contact Kalshi support to request clarification or cancellation of this malformed market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary structure with explicit winner-take-all logic. Resolves to the name of the winning team based on final score including overtime. Includes well-defined edge cases for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Source: NCAA.org.
  • Kalshi: Defective binary logic. Both Northern Arizona win and Idaho win are mapped to Yes resolution. No path to No resolution exists. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.