TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Idaho Vandals and Northern Arizona Lumberjacks scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Northern Arizona win and Idaho win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), leaving the No outcome unreachable. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. The market as written cannot resolve to No under any circumstance, violating basic binary market design. Polymarket's structure is correct and resolvable. Contact Kalshi support to request clarification or cancellation of this malformed market.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary structure with explicit winner-take-all logic. Resolves to the name of the winning team based on final score including overtime. Includes well-defined edge cases for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Source: NCAA.org.Kalshi:
Defective binary logic. Both Northern Arizona win and Idaho win are mapped to Yes resolution. No path to No resolution exists. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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