This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Idaho State Bengals and Weber State Wildcats scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical impossibility: both winning outcomes are specified to resolve to Yes, which violates the binary nature of a single-game winner market. This makes the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as stated.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market based on the provided terms. Contact Kalshi support to clarify the actual resolution logic. The market likely intends a Yes/No structure (e.g., Yes if Weber State wins, No if Idaho State wins), but the current description contradicts this. Polymarket's binary winner-based resolution is clear and tradeable.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: winner is determined by final score including overtime. Idaho State Bengals win resolves to Idaho State Bengals; Weber State Wildcats win resolves to Weber State Wildcats. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Kalshi: Contradictory resolution: states both Weber St. win and Idaho St. win resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible for a single game with two mutually exclusive outcomes and suggests either a data error or missing context about the actual Yes/No criterion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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