This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Idaho State Bengals and Montana Grizzlies scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both mutually exclusive outcomes (Montana win and Idaho State win) are specified to resolve to the same result (Yes). This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and indicates a data integrity failure or missing resolution criteria.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform issues a clarification. The market as stated cannot be resolved without arbitrarily choosing one outcome. Polymarket is the only resolvable market in this group.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Idaho State win resolves to Idaho State Bengals; Montana win resolves to Montana Grizzlies. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open until completion.
Kalshi: Defective logic: both Idaho State win and Montana win are specified to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No resolution path for No outcome is defined. Market is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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