TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 10:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Idaho State will win its college football game against Utah State. Currently, Kalshi gives Idaho State a 99.0% probability of winning, while Utah State is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Idaho State vs. Utah State game, as reported by the official result if the game proceeds as scheduled. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes or No depending on the final score after the originally scheduled game date of September 5, 2026, with final resolution occurring by September 6, 2026.
The event determines the winner of the Idaho State versus Utah State college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. If Utah State wins the game as originally scheduled, that market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Idaho State wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks can differ in their implied probabilities for this market. While sportsbooks set lines based on sharp handicappers and public betting trends, prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders who buy and sell contracts based on their own research. This often leads to subtle shifts in perceived chances, especially as new data like injuries or weather reports surfaces. Comparing both can give you a broader view of expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader submissions and bidding, which set the current odds for each outcome. The platform’s algorithm matches buy and sell orders to determine the implied probabilities you see. These prices reflect the collective assessment of participants about the likely winner and any possible draws. As new information emerges — such as team news or performance updates — the odds can shift rapidly based on Kalshi user activity.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game record, matching the contracts sold on Kalshi. No further interpretation is needed — the raw score and win/loss data settle the market automatically once the contest concludes and results are reported publicly.
In the coming weeks, several signals could influence this market. Key performances in preceding games, player injuries or recoveries, and coaching strategies are major factors that traders will watch closely. Any last-minute roster changes or disciplinary actions could also shift expectations. As Sep 6, 2026 approaches, updated polling data, expert analysis, and betting trends may cause volatility. All of these developments can impact how participants price the odds on Kalshi.