TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 1:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming UEFA Nations League soccer match between Iceland and Estonia. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the offensive intensity of the game. It reflects the competitive nature of international soccer and how analysts predict scoring trends.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Iceland vs Estonia UEFA Nations League match scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed a specified threshold—ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals—after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The resolution relies solely on official match results, with no consideration for tournament-specific formats beyond regular time scoring.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the probability of various total goal outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion among bettors and prediction market participants. It's common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price is determined solely by supply and demand within Kalshi and isn’t influenced by external factors or other venues.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored in the Iceland vs Estonia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process is based on publicly available information, ensuring transparency and objectivity. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results are confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Iceland or Estonia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team formations or tactical approaches might also shift market sentiment. Finally, as the match draws closer, any reliable information regarding team morale or preparation could lead to price adjustments in this market.