TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 12:30 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Iceland and Argentina (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 10, 2026, 00:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 10, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, the Iceland and Argentina 4+ cards outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to that result. The platform uses an automated market maker or order-book model to set the price, which moves as new trades flow in. Traders buy YES if they believe the match will see four or more cards, or NO if they expect fewer. The current price on Limitless represents the marginal trader's belief; as match details emerge—team lineups, referee assignments, or injury news—the price adjusts to reflect updated expectations about card distribution.
The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, shortly after the final whistle of the Iceland vs. Argentina match. The outcome is determined by the total number of cards issued by the referee during the match, including yellows and reds. If four or more cards are shown in total, the YES outcome wins; if three or fewer, NO wins. Resolution is typically confirmed within hours of match completion once official records are published. Traders should monitor team news and referee tendencies in the days leading up to kickoff, as these factors significantly influence card expectations.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, particularly the availability of key players with disciplinary records or aggressive playing styles. Referee assignment can shift odds substantially, as different officials have varying card-issuance tendencies. Injury news affecting defensive stability may increase or decrease expected card counts. Pre-match analysis from sports media highlighting tactical intensity or historical head-to-head card patterns will influence trader positioning. Weather conditions closer to match day—rain or wind affecting play quality—can alter expectations. Late-breaking team news, such as suspensions or tactical shifts, often triggers sharp price moves as informed traders react before the broader market.