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ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Ireland
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of West Indies vs Ireland?

Volume:
$2,895,952

Ireland

 - Kalshi

Ireland - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 12:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ireland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,330,488
N/A
N/A
$568,950
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Ireland - Completed match?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

West Indies

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,211,936
N/A
N/A
$637,315
Settled
No
polymarket

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Ireland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$352,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Ireland - Who wins the toss?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$710
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether the West Indies and Ireland women's cricket teams will complete their ICC T20 World Cup match scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 9:30 AM EDT. The aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket shows 100.0% probability that the match will be completed, based on resolution criteria from espncricinfo.com and official tournament records. Watch for any weather disruptions, venue issues, or other unforeseen circumstances that could prevent play before the estimated resolution window closes on July 4, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction: it states both West Indies winning and Ireland winning resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that renders the market inoperable.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's match winner market. Trade only on Polymarket's match winner market, which has coherent, mutually exclusive resolution logic. For toss and match completion markets, both platforms are consistent and resolvable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Match winner resolves to the finalized result from espncricinfo.com. DLS, Super Overs, and on-field rulings are treated as ordinary wins. Tied matches with Super Over resolve to Super Over winner; tied matches without Super Over resolve 50-50. Abandoned, No Result, or canceled matches resolve 50-50. Source: espncricinfo.com with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus reporting.
  • Kalshi: Market states: 'If West Indies wins... then Yes' AND 'If Ireland wins... then Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. No tie-handling or abandonment logic is provided. This is a critical logical contradiction.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between West Indies and Ireland scheduled for June 27 2026 in ICC T20 World Cup, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The match resolves based on the official result declared by the governing body. If West Indies wins, the West Indies market resolves Yes. If Ireland wins, the Ireland market resolves Yes. In cases where the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurs before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If such an event occurs after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, resolution follows that result. If play commences but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on real-money stakes and continuous trading, which often produces odds closer to true probability than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks build in margins and adjust lines based on liability management, whereas this market reflects live trader conviction. The implied probabilities here—drawn from active wagering—tend to sharpen as event time approaches. For major sporting events like international cricket, prediction markets frequently outperform sportsbook lines in accuracy, especially when volume remains robust and diverse participants contribute pricing signals.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates distinct order books, user bases, and liquidity pools, causing temporary price divergence. Polymarket may attract traders with different risk appetites or information sets than Kalshi, leading to varied implied probabilities. Regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and settlement mechanics also differ subtly between venues. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but friction costs and platform-specific rules can prevent instant convergence. Monitoring both prices reveals where market participants disagree most sharply on the outcome.

Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates to star players, recent form and head-to-head records, and weather forecasts for match day. Venue conditions—pitch behavior, outfield dimensions, and historical performance data—often shift trader positioning. Live match events such as early wickets, batting partnerships, or bowling breakthroughs will trigger sharp repricing as new information arrives. Pre-match betting patterns and late-breaking news from team camps can also swing implied probabilities significantly in the final hours before play begins.