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ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland
kalshi
polymarket

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland

Volume:
$1,785,228

England

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 5:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

England

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$432,813
N/A
N/A
$320,420
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$106,855
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland - Completed match?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland - Who wins the toss?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ireland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,244,448
N/A
N/A
$846,734
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether England will defeat Ireland in their women's T20 World Cup cricket match. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability for England to win. Resolution will be determined by official ESPN Cricinfo records following the match scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. Watch for any late team roster changes or weather updates in the days leading up to the June 16 fixture, as these factors could influence match dynamics and betting sentiment.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match outcome market is logically incoherent: it resolves to Yes for both England win and Ireland win, making it impossible to settle directionally. Polymarket provides three separate, well-defined markets with clear edge-case handling.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It cannot resolve to No under any circumstance (both possible outcomes trigger Yes), rendering it unsuitable for prediction markets. Use Polymarket's three distinct markets: match winner (with Super Over and 50-50 tie rules), toss winner, and completion status.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match outcome market states: 'If England wins... resolves to Yes. If Ireland wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—there is no scenario that resolves to No, making the market unresolvable and unsuitable for directional betting.
  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with distinct resolution criteria: (1) Match Winner: resolved by ESPN Cricinfo finalized result; Super Over tiebreak if available; 50-50 split if tied with no tiebreak or abandoned. (2) Toss Winner: resolved by official toss record, remains open if match postponed, resolves 50-50 if permanently canceled before toss. (3) Completion Status: resolves Yes if official result declared (including DLS, forfeit, Super Over); resolves No if abandoned, No Result, or permanently canceled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between England and Ireland scheduled for June 16 2026 in ICC T20 World Cup, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

This event covers the outcome of the England vs Ireland women's professional Women's T20 World Cup cricket match originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. In case of forfeit, disqualification, or concession before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If such events occur after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, markets resolve based on that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader consensus—buy and sell pressure from participants risking real capital. Prediction markets often respond faster to breaking news and tend to be more efficient at incorporating new information. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster payouts. Comparing this market's odds across both venues helps you identify mispricings and understand whether consensus leans bullish or bearish on either team.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and liquidity pools, causing temporary price gaps. Kalshi and Polymarket may list slightly different contract specifications—for example, one platform might focus on match winner while another emphasizes toss outcome—leading to natural pricing variation. Regulatory frameworks, settlement speed, and withdrawal policies also influence how traders value positions on each venue. Arbitrage-minded traders exploit these spreads, but gaps persist due to transaction costs and the time required to execute cross-platform trades. Monitoring both sites reveals which outcome commands stronger conviction across the broader prediction market ecosystem.

Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates, recent head-to-head form, and venue conditions closer to match day. Weather forecasts—particularly wind and rain patterns—can significantly influence T20 outcomes and shift trader positioning. Betting market activity on traditional sportsbooks often leads prediction markets, so monitoring those odds may signal incoming repricing. Pre-match commentary from analysts and team statements about strategy can also trigger volatility. Late-breaking news about player availability or pitch conditions typically generates the sharpest moves in the final hours before play begins.