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OPEN INTEREST:

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402,751

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh
kalshi
polymarket

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh

Volume:
$824,219

Australia

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 17, 8:11 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Australia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$229,886
N/A
N/A
$193,308
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$164,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh - Completed match?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh - Who wins the toss?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bangladesh

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$429,042
N/A
N/A
$347,736
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether the Australia vs Bangladesh women's T20 World Cup cricket match will be completed as scheduled. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability that the match will take place and conclude. Resolution is determined by official ICC records following the fixture originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Watch for any weather delays, venue changes, or tournament disruptions that could affect the match completion window leading up to the June 24, 2026 resolution date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi match outcome market contains a logical contradiction where both possible match outcomes (Australia win or Bangladesh win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi match outcome market based on this specification. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether this is a template error. The Polymarket match outcome market uses standard binary logic and is resolvable. The toss winner and match completion markets on Polymarket are independently resolvable and not affected by this divergence.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match outcome market maps both Australia win and Bangladesh win to Yes resolution. Quote: 'If Australia wins the Australia vs Bangladesh women's professional Women's T20 World Cup cricket match originally scheduled for Jun 17, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bangladesh wins the Australia vs Bangladesh women's professional Women's T20 World Cup cricket match originally scheduled for Jun 17, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility.
  • Polymarket: Match outcome market uses standard binary resolution: winner is determined by official ESPN Cricinfo result; DLS/DRS and other rulings count as ordinary wins; Super Over tiebreak results are honored; matches ending tied without tiebreak resolve 50-50; cancellations or no result resolve 50-50. Quote: 'This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between Australia and Bangladesh scheduled for June 17 2026 in ICC T20 World Cup, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If Australia wins the Australia vs Bangladesh women's professional Women's T20 World Cup cricket match originally scheduled for Jun 17, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bangladesh wins the Australia vs Bangladesh women's professional Women's T20 World Cup cricket match originally scheduled for Jun 17, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price risk differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in margin; prediction markets aggregate real-time trader beliefs with no house take. This market reflects what thousands of independent participants actually believe will happen, often incorporating faster-moving information than sportsbooks update. Prediction market odds tend to be sharper on niche or fast-moving events because traders have direct financial skin in the game. For major sporting events like this one, comparing both sources helps you identify where public perception and market pricing diverge most.

Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different market designs, user bases, and liquidity profiles. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with distinct risk appetites and information sets, so prices can diverge by several percentage points even on the same underlying event. Kalshi's regulatory structure and order-matching engine may price differently than Polymarket's AMM-style mechanism. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but temporary spreads persist due to withdrawal delays, platform fees, and trader friction. Monitoring both simultaneously helps you understand where true consensus lies versus where structural differences create pricing inefficiency.

Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury reports on star players, toss outcome, and weather conditions at match time. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move markets sharply once lineups are confirmed. Pre-match commentary from analysts and former players can shift retail trader positioning. Live match developments—early wickets, aggressive batting, or bowling breakthroughs—will drive intraday repricing if this market offers live trading. Monitoring team social media, official ICC updates, and local weather forecasts gives you early signals before the broader market reacts.