TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:05 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Ibiza Sant Rafel FC and Prat will determine whether more than a certain number of goals are scored within regular time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Ibiza Sant Rafel FC vs Prat professional Copa del Rey soccer game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome depends on whether the goal count exceeds specific thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). Extra time and penalty goals are excluded from the resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and adjust prices faster than sportsbooks, particularly as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Ibiza vs Prat match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of expectations. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total number of goals scored in the Ibiza vs Prat match will determine the winning contract. Resolution will be based on official match data, and the market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual total goals scored. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission paid when purchasing the contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in team formations could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the likelihood of goals being scored. Unexpected tactical decisions by either manager during the match, or even early goals scored in the game, could all lead to substantial price movements in this market as traders react to the evolving situation.