TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether either team secures a victory by a margin exceeding specified goal differences within regular time, again excluding extra time or penalties.
These spread markets resolve based on the outcome of the Ibiza Sant Rafel FC vs Prat professional Copa del Rey soccer game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The first two markets resolve if Ibiza Sant Rafel FC wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while the last two resolve if Prat wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Extra time and penalty goals are excluded. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and participant motivations. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Kalshi and a sportsbook. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual outcome. The current price indicates what a trader would need to pay to own a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome is correct.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Ibiza vs Prat match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official final score as reported by the governing sporting body. The market will determine which side of the spread ultimately wins, and payouts will be calculated based on the final price of the contracts at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the outcome of this market.
Several signals could impact the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions during the match could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause price fluctuations. General news about team performance or even public perception of each team's chances could also contribute to movement in this market.