TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This match features two teams competing in a crucial knockout stage of a prestigious national cup tournament. The game will test both teams' attacking abilities and defensive resilience over the course of regular time plus any stoppage time added at the end of each half. The outcome will depend on whether both teams manage to find the net during this initial period of play.
If Ibiza Sant Rafel FC and Prat both score a goal in the Ibiza Sant Rafel FC vs Prat Copa del Rey match originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to incorporate a profit margin and account for public betting biases. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. While sportsbook odds might initially favor one outcome, the prediction market can offer a more nuanced view, potentially identifying mispriced probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, and risk assessments between individual traders and sportsbook operators.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of both teams scoring in the Ibiza vs Prat match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the 'Yes' outcome (both teams to score). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. The market isn't influenced by a central authority setting prices; instead, it's a decentralized process driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Ibiza Sant Rafel FC and Prat score at least one goal during the match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. No further information regarding resolution mechanisms is available at this time. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match result to understand the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ibiza Sant Rafel FC or Prat would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, recent match results, or tactical adjustments could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially affecting the likelihood of goals being scored. Furthermore, any public statements from team managers or players regarding their offensive strategies could move this market.