TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Jerome Kym in the Iasi, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Jerome Kym. This market will resolve to 'Jerome Kym' if Jerome Kym advances against Maks Kasnikowski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Jerome Kym in the Iasi, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Jerome Kym. This market will resolve to 'Jerome Kym' if Jerome Kym advances against Maks Kasnikowski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. Prediction markets can sometimes price outcomes more efficiently because participants have direct financial exposure and no house edge to overcome. However, sportsbooks may incorporate sharper professional betting syndicates. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value or contrarian opportunities in this market.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the boxing match, determining which trader positions are correct. Until that date, the market remains open for trading, and prices may shift based on fighter news, training updates, or other developments that influence expectations. Once the bout concludes and the winner is established, the market settles automatically and traders receive payouts based on their holdings.
Several catalysts could shift prices before resolution. Fighter injuries, training camp reports, or public statements from either boxer could alter perceptions of their readiness or form. Weigh-in results, recent fight footage, or changes in venue conditions might also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage and expert commentary can sway opinion, especially if respected analysts offer new insights into matchup dynamics or fighter conditioning. Betting action from sharp money or large position moves by prominent traders can trigger momentum shifts. Any unexpected news—from contract disputes to regulatory changes—could also move this market as traders reassess their edge.