TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Morocco Botola Pro game between HUS Agadir and Kawkab AC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "HUS Agadir" if HUS Agadir score more goals than Kawkab AC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if HUS Agadir and Kawkab AC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kawkab AC" if Kawkab AC score more goals than HUS Agadir in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Morocco Botola Pro game between HUS Agadir and Kawkab AC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "HUS Agadir" if HUS Agadir score more goals than Kawkab AC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if HUS Agadir and Kawkab AC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kawkab AC" if Kawkab AC score more goals than HUS Agadir in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous buying and selling. This market's odds may move faster or slower than traditional sportsbooks depending on liquidity and information flow. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd on Polymarket is more or less confident in a particular outcome than the betting market consensus, though both are valid indicators of perceived probability.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares, with the current price reflecting the collective belief in each result's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into a particular outcome, the higher its price climbs; conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This continuous auction mechanism means the odds update in real time as new information emerges or sentiment shifts. Liquidity depth and order flow determine how quickly prices respond to breaking news or late-stage developments before the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match between HUS Agadir and Kawkab AC concludes and the second-half result is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the final score and goal distribution during the second half. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution timing depends on official match reporting and any necessary review of disputed plays, ensuring accuracy before settlement.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—can shift odds significantly. Early first-half momentum and goals scored before halftime may reshape expectations for the second-half result, prompting traders to reposition. Weather conditions, referee assignments, or tactical adjustments revealed at halftime often trigger sharp price moves. Late-breaking injury reports or unexpected roster decisions can also swing sentiment. As the match progresses, live action and scoreline dynamics will drive continuous repricing, with each goal or near-miss potentially altering the probability traders assign to different second-half outcomes.