TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks worldwide streaming performance for the album Hurry Up Tomorrow during the July 10-16 tracking week. Resolution is based on official data from Luminate Data, LLC, which may be published up to 48 hours after the week ends.
If Hurry Up Tomorrow has above 42,675,115 Worldwide Streams during the July 10 - July 16, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders with direct financial incentive to forecast accurately, often diverging from casual analyst commentary. While traditional media analysts may rely on studio statements or rumor, this market aggregates distributed knowledge from participants who profit only if their prediction proves correct. Comparing the implied probability here to public analyst estimates can reveal where the crowd sees hidden signals or where conventional wisdom may be outdated. Such gaps often highlight breaking news or insider information not yet reflected in mainstream coverage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief in the likelihood of the event, ranging from near-zero to near-one hundred cents. As new information emerges—such as official announcements or scheduling updates—traders adjust their positions, moving the price in real time. Tighter spreads between bid and ask prices indicate higher confidence and liquidity, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty or lower trading activity.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, at which point the outcome will be determined based on whether new episodes stream during the specified week. The resolution will be verified against credible public sources, including official network announcements, streaming platform schedules, and entertainment news outlets. Once the event window closes and confirmation is available, the market will settle accordingly, with winning positions paid out and losing positions closed. Traders should monitor official channels and reputable entertainment media in the days leading up to resolution for any last-minute scheduling changes.
Official announcements from the network or streaming platform about episode release dates are the strongest catalysts for price movement. Production delays, cast or crew statements, and social media updates from creators can also shift trader sentiment significantly. Entertainment news outlets reporting on scheduling decisions or industry developments may trigger rapid repricing as new information spreads. Additionally, any competing releases or major platform events that week could influence expectations around viewership and promotional timing, causing traders to reassess their positions before the market closes.