TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hurkacz vs Tiafoe
kalshi

Hurkacz vs Tiafoe

Volume:
$8,057,927

Frances Tiafoe

 - Kalshi

Frances Tiafoe - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved May 28, 2026

Closed: May 28, 11:45 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Frances Tiafoe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,832,244
N/A
N/A
$2,196,233
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hubert Hurkacz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,225,683
N/A
N/A
$1,361,625
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Round of 64 men's singles match between Hubert Hurkacz and Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 French Open. On Kalshi, Hurkacz is favored to win at 52.0%, while Tiafoe has a 50.0% probability of victory. The market resolves based on the official result once the match is played. Watch for the scheduled match on May 27, 2026, when the resolution will be determined by which player advances from the Round of 64.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets adjust based on trader demand and information flow. For Hurkacz vs Tiafoe, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp money is flowing. Prediction markets tend to be more responsive to breaking news—injuries, weather, recent form—while sportsbooks may lag slightly. Both sources are useful: sportsbooks for baseline odds, prediction markets for dynamic crowd intelligence.

On Kalshi, the Hurkacz vs Tiafoe match is priced as a binary contract: Will Frances Tiafoe win the Round of 64 match? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the contract price, with traders buying or selling based on their conviction. As new information emerges—player fitness, head-to-head records, court conditions—the price adjusts in real time. Kalshi's order book shows bid-ask spreads, allowing you to see exactly where buyers and sellers disagree. The contract settles to 100 cents if Tiafoe wins, or 0 cents if Hurkacz wins, making the pricing mechanism transparent and directly tied to match outcome.

The Hurkacz vs Tiafoe market resolves on May 27, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the Round of 64 match between Hurkacz and Tiafoe. The outcome is binary: either Tiafoe wins or Hurkacz wins. Once the match concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market settles automatically. Traders holding winning positions receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact settlement timing depends on match completion and official confirmation by the tournament organizer.

Several catalysts could shift Hurkacz vs Tiafoe odds before May 27, 2026. Injury reports or withdrawal announcements for either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head performance, and surface-specific form matter significantly in tennis. Court conditions—indoor versus outdoor, clay versus hard court—favor different playing styles. Weather forecasts closer to match day can influence odds. Player ranking changes, coaching updates, or public statements about fitness or motivation also move markets. Media coverage and expert commentary often correlate with sentiment swings. Watch for late-breaking news on player availability and any schedule changes that might affect preparation or fatigue levels.