TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns whether the MMA bout between Hunter Smith and Adam Livingston will conclude before the start of the second or third round. It's an opportunity to wager on the fight's duration.
Markets resolve to Yes if the fight ends before the specified round begins. The event involves the same MMA match scheduled for September 1, 2026. Outcomes depend on whether the fight concludes before Round 2 or Round 3, with no additional settlement nuances beyond the timing of the finish.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced view shaped by engaged traders rather than institutional lines. While sportsbooks may offer adjusted lines based on broader public betting patterns, this market pricing is driven directly by the flow of trader capital and real-time adjustments.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the officially recorded round in which the fight concludes, and the market will close as soon as that information is widely and reliably reported.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 2, 2026. Notable weigh-ins, media interviews, and training updates may influence perceptions of fighter readiness and aggressive strategies. Any last-minute changes in fight conditions, such as rule modifications or unexpected injuries, could also cause rapid price swings as traders reassess the probable finish round.