TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hungarian Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap
kalshi
polymarket

Who will achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Volume:
$96,418

Charles Leclerc

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 1:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Charles Leclerc

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,941
N/A
N/A
$4,776
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Charles Leclerc

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,774
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lando Norris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,746
N/A
N/A
$9,431
Settled
No
polymarket

Lando Norris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$883
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,844
N/A
N/A
$9,690
Settled
No
polymarket

Kimi Antonelli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,258
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lewis Hamilton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,328
N/A
N/A
$6,502
Settled
No
polymarket

Lewis Hamilton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,712
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Max Verstappen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,610
N/A
N/A
$5,337
Settled
No
polymarket

Max Verstappen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oscar Piastri

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,285
N/A
N/A
$6,138
Settled
No
polymarket

Oscar Piastri

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

George Russell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,607
N/A
N/A
$1,417
Settled
No
polymarket

George Russell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fernando Alonso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,467
N/A
N/A
$1,467
Settled
No
polymarket

Fernando Alonso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Isack Hadjar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,094
N/A
N/A
$961
Settled
No
polymarket

Isack Hadjar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Liam Lawson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$761
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
No
polymarket

Liam Lawson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Arvid Lindblad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$387
N/A
N/A
$387
Settled
No
polymarket

Arvid Lindblad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lance Stroll

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lance Stroll

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Franco Colapinto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on which driver will achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 Formula 1 Hungarian Grand Prix, scheduled for July 26, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer individual binary markets for each driver, with consistent resolution criteria tied to the official FIA Final Classification.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical resolution logic: the driver with the fastest valid lap time recorded during the main race on July 26, 2026 resolves to Yes; all other drivers resolve to No. Edge cases (cancellation, rescheduling, no completed laps) resolve to Other or No across both platforms.Primary resolution logic: Official FIA Final Classification published on Formula1.com following race conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the driver officially credited with the fastest lap in the FIA Final Classification
  • The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or other sessions are excluded
  • Only one driver can achieve fastest lap per race; exactly one market in the group will resolve to Yes
  • If the race is canceled or rescheduled to a date after August 2, 2026, all markets resolve to Other or No
  • If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., red flag ending race prematurely), all markets resolve to Other or No
  • Resolution occurs after official FIA publication of Final Classification following race conclusion

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Race Cancellation or Late Rescheduling: If the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after August 2, 2026, all driver-specific markets resolve to Other (Polymarket) or No (Kalshi)
  • No Completed Laps: If a red flag or other circumstance prevents any driver from completing a lap during the race, all markets resolve to Other or No
  • Driver Lineup Changes: Polymarket includes generic placeholders (Driver A, B, C, D, E) and an Other option to account for potential grid changes; Kalshi lists only named drivers as of market creation
  • Multiple Fastest Lap Claims: FIA Final Classification is the sole arbiter; if a fastest lap is later amended by FIA, resolution follows the official amended classification
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the official FIA Final Classification is published following the conclusion of the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix race on July 26, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 26, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 2, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Kalshi

Each driver outcome in this market resolves to Yes if that driver records the fastest valid lap time during the main race originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix. Fastest lap is awarded to the driver who records the fastest official lap time as determined by FIA's published classification.

Frequently asked questions

The Hungarian Grand Prix fastest lap market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi on which driver will record the fastest lap during the 2026 F1 race at the Hungaroring. This market reflects real-time consensus as participants buy and sell shares tied to individual driver outcomes. By tracking prices across both venues, you can monitor how the prediction community weights each competitor's chances of setting the quickest lap time. The dashboard displays current odds, recent volume activity, and historical price movements, giving you a comprehensive view of market sentiment leading up to race day.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from live supply and demand among traders. This market often reflects sharper, more granular driver-level analysis than mainstream sportsbooks, since participants trade directly on specific fastest-lap outcomes rather than relying on a bookmaker's model. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees edge or where consensus diverges, making it a useful reference point for serious race analysts.

Driver form and recent qualifying performances are primary catalysts, as strong pace in practice sessions or pole position often correlates with fastest-lap capability. Tire strategy announcements, weather forecasts, and track conditions closer to race day can shift odds significantly, since wet weather or extreme heat alters which drivers and car setups excel. Team radio leaks, mechanical issues during practice, or driver lineup changes will ripple through prices quickly. Late-breaking news about setup changes, fuel loads, or strategic pit-stop plans can also trigger sharp repricing. Monitor pre-race press conferences and official F1 updates for material developments.