TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory for Indiana in their upcoming college football game against Howard. Each market corresponds to a different point spread threshold, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of dominance in the game outcome.
The markets resolve based on the point differential by which Indiana defeats Howard in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Indiana's victory exceeds the specified point spread. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point spread threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering an edge to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'buy' side, predicting the spread will be higher, or the 'sell' side, predicting it will be lower. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the most likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Howard vs Indiana game, as reported by a recognized sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute funds accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Howard or Indiana teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, updated team statistics, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market relies on traders' independent assessments rather than external opinions. Unexpected developments leading up to the game are the most likely catalysts for price changes.