TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no team manages to score a touchdown at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The markets resolve based on which team, if any, scores the first touchdown in the Howard vs Indiana college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. All touchdowns—including those scored by offensive, defensive, or special teams units—count toward resolution, even if they occur in overtime. If neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime, the "No team scores a TD" market resolves as the winner. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets will resolve according to the actual result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will instead resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to breaking news or significant developments related to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders. A higher volume of trading generally suggests greater confidence in the current price.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Howard vs Indiana game. The result will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be evaluated based on widely accepted sources of sports information. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure an accurate and fair resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Howard or Indiana would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s offensive style, could also impact trading. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media buzz, could influence how traders position themselves in this market.