TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 4:55 PM EST
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced outlook. Analysts may issue reports based on ratings, promotions, or past performance, while traders adjust positions rapidly in response to real-time streaming data, social media buzz, and viewing trends. The gap between these two can widen if unexpected events, like a viral moment or a major recommendation, shift public interest dramatically.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome will be based on the officially reported weekly viewership data for Netflix’s most-watched show, as reflected by the platform’s public statistics and press releases.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including new show releases, major social media trends or viral moments, Netflix’s own promotional pushes, and weekly viewing updates. Any surprise addition to Netflix’s top ten or a highly-touted debut could dramatically alter trader sentiment. Additionally, industry reports on viewer habits or changes in recommendation algorithms may also influence expectations in the final days.