TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
At least 18 million
- Kalshi
At least 18 million - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
Closed: Aug 3, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The weekly Netflix chart for English-language movies will determine if the top movie reaches certain view thresholds by August 4, 2026. Audiences will be monitoring which film leads the chart and how widely it is consumed around the world that week.
Kalshi
Multiple markets exist evaluating whether the top-ranked English-language movie on Netflix’s weekly global charts attains particular view count milestones (from 6 million to 50 million views) as published on August 4, 2026, with each market resolving to 'Yes' if its specific threshold is reached or surpassed. Secondary rules are consistent across all markets: 'views' means count of views (not hours viewed), the chart is Netflix’s weekly "Movies | English" global ranking, updated Tuesdays meaning the market closes 11:59 PM ET the day before, with the August 4 chart reflecting the week ending the preceding Sunday. There is no endorsement or affiliation between Netflix and the market operator; any mention of Netflix serves only as a descriptive reference.
Frequently asked questions
Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which may rely on surveys or industry trends, prediction market odds reflect the collective bets of traders who react instantly to new data. Currently, the odds imply a specific range of expected views for the top show, which can diverge from or align with published analyst predictions. Monitoring this market lets you see where crowd-sourced expectations stand in real time, potentially offering a leading indicator of shifts in public interest or viewing habits before formal reports are released.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final determination will be based on the officially reported view count for the highest-rated Netflix show that week, closing the market and settling all positions according to the rules set by Kalshi.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major announcements such as new episode releases, celebrity endorsements, or viral social media trends around a show can drive sudden spikes in viewership and market odds. Competing entertainment events, platform algorithm changes, or even technical issues affecting Netflix access may also cause rapid adjustments. Traders will watch weekly streaming charts, media coverage, and audience engagement metrics closely as the week progresses.
