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2,403,290,006
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$1,452,035,386
405,032
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2,690
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61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 14, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jul 13, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
Netflix publishes weekly viewing charts every Tuesday for English-language shows globally. This event tracks how many individual views the #1-ranked show accumulates during the week ending Sunday, July 13, 2026, as reported on the chart published Tuesday, July 14, 2026.
Kalshi
Resolution is based on the view count of the top-ranked show on Netflix's Global English-language weekly chart published on July 14, 2026, which reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday. The metric tracked is total views (not hours viewed). Multiple resolution thresholds are established at 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 25, 30, 35, 40, and 50 million views. Each threshold represents a separate Yes/No outcome: the market resolves Yes if the #1 show reaches or exceeds that specific view count, and No otherwise. The market closes at 11:59 PM ET on July 13, 2026, the day before chart publication, to prevent trading on information released after market close.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect real-time aggregation of trader beliefs and financial incentives, whereas traditional analyst forecasts rely on historical data models and industry expertise. This market often incorporates breaking information—such as marketing campaigns, release timing, or competing releases—faster than published analyst reports. Traders betting real capital tend to incorporate a broader range of signals, from social media momentum to platform engagement metrics, creating odds that can diverge meaningfully from consensus estimates. Comparing the two reveals where the crowd sees upside or downside relative to expert consensus.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different viewership ranges or outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to commit capital, with higher prices indicating stronger confidence in that scenario. Kalshi's transparent pricing model means the odds you see are live market rates, not house-set lines, allowing traders to enter or exit positions at any time before the market resolves.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the weekly viewership data for the #1 show becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual view count reported for that week's top-ranked Netflix title. Resolution hinges on official Netflix reporting or third-party data providers that track streaming metrics. Traders should monitor Netflix's weekly top-10 announcements and any official viewership disclosures to anticipate the final result.
Major catalysts include Netflix's release schedule announcements, surprise drops of high-profile content, and real-time social media trends signaling viewer interest. Award nominations, celebrity news tied to featured shows, and competing platform releases can shift attention and viewership. Platform algorithm changes or promotional pushes by Netflix also influence which title holds the #1 slot and its weekly performance. Early viewership reports, critical reviews, and subscriber growth announcements may prompt traders to adjust positions ahead of the final weekly count.
