TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Netflix publishes weekly viewing charts every Tuesday for content in the Global English-language Shows category. This event tracks the total number of individual views (not hours watched) that the #1 ranked show accumulates during the week ending Sunday, June 22, 2026, as reported on the chart published Tuesday, June 23, 2026.
Resolution is determined by the view count of the #1 ranked show on Netflix's Global English-language Shows weekly chart published on June 23, 2026, which reports data for the week ending the previous Sunday. The metric tracked is the total number of views (distinct from hours viewed). The market closes at 11:59 PM ET on June 22, 2026, the day before chart publication. Resolution outcomes are based on whether the #1 show's view count meets or exceeds specified thresholds: 6 million, 9 million, 12 million, 15 million, 18 million, 21 million, 25 million, 30 million, 35 million, 40 million, or 50 million views.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect aggregated trader conviction and are often more dynamic than traditional analyst forecasts, which tend to update less frequently. While entertainment analysts may publish weekly viewership estimates based on Nielsen data and Netflix's own disclosures, traders here price in real-time sentiment, social media momentum, and emerging viewing patterns. The market's odds can diverge from published forecasts when new information surfaces—such as a surprise hit or subscriber churn—allowing you to compare crowd-sourced expectations against expert commentary and identify potential mispricings.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the weekly viewership figures for the #1 show are verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official view count or audience metric released by Netflix or confirmed through independent entertainment reporting. Your position settles based on whether the actual viewership falls within the range or threshold you predicted, with payouts distributed according to the contract terms established at market creation.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market: surprise viewership spikes driven by viral moments or celebrity appearances, subscriber growth or churn announcements, Netflix's own promotional campaigns, and competitive releases on rival platforms. Real-time social media trends, critical reviews, and word-of-mouth can accelerate or dampen viewer engagement. Additionally, Netflix's weekly top-10 rankings and any mid-week viewership updates traders can access will influence sentiment. Major entertainment news—cancellations, renewals, or casting announcements—can also redirect audience attention and reshape expectations for the #1 show's weekly performance.