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405,232

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Entertainment
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
kalshi

How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?

Volume:
$100,258

At least 21 million

 - Kalshi

At least 21 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 23, 2026

Closed: Jun 22, 11:59 PM EST

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View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 21 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,308
N/A
N/A
$11,597
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 15 million

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,796
N/A
N/A
$7,729
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 18 million

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,419
N/A
N/A
$6,138
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 12 million

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,105
N/A
N/A
$4,669
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 9 million

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,998
N/A
N/A
$3,364
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 6 million

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,282
N/A
N/A
$1,797
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 30 million

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,326
N/A
N/A
$9,052
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 25 million

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,265
N/A
N/A
$4,429
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 50 million

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,306
N/A
N/A
$627
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 35 million

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,231
N/A
N/A
$463
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 40 million

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,221
N/A
N/A
$837
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

Netflix publishes weekly viewing charts every Tuesday for content in the Global English-language Shows category. This event tracks the total number of individual views (not hours watched) that the #1 ranked show accumulates during the week ending Sunday, June 22, 2026, as reported on the chart published Tuesday, June 23, 2026.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the view count of the #1 ranked show on Netflix's Global English-language Shows weekly chart published on June 23, 2026, which reports data for the week ending the previous Sunday. The metric tracked is the total number of views (distinct from hours viewed). The market closes at 11:59 PM ET on June 22, 2026, the day before chart publication. Resolution outcomes are based on whether the #1 show's view count meets or exceeds specified thresholds: 6 million, 9 million, 12 million, 15 million, 18 million, 21 million, 25 million, 30 million, 35 million, 40 million, or 50 million views.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Netflix #1 show weekly viewership market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movement for predictions about how many views the top-ranked show will accumulate in a given week. The interface displays current market sentiment, 24-hour trading volume of $6,913, and cumulative volume of $100,258 across all traders participating in this market. You can monitor how odds shift as new viewership data emerges and as the resolution date approaches, giving you a live window into crowd expectations around Netflix's most-watched content each week.

Prediction market odds on this market reflect aggregated trader conviction and are often more dynamic than traditional analyst forecasts, which tend to update less frequently. While entertainment analysts may publish weekly viewership estimates based on Nielsen data and Netflix's own disclosures, traders here price in real-time sentiment, social media momentum, and emerging viewing patterns. The market's odds can diverge from published forecasts when new information surfaces—such as a surprise hit or subscriber churn—allowing you to compare crowd-sourced expectations against expert commentary and identify potential mispricings.

This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the weekly viewership figures for the #1 show are verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official view count or audience metric released by Netflix or confirmed through independent entertainment reporting. Your position settles based on whether the actual viewership falls within the range or threshold you predicted, with payouts distributed according to the contract terms established at market creation.

Several catalysts can shift odds in this market: surprise viewership spikes driven by viral moments or celebrity appearances, subscriber growth or churn announcements, Netflix's own promotional campaigns, and competitive releases on rival platforms. Real-time social media trends, critical reviews, and word-of-mouth can accelerate or dampen viewer engagement. Additionally, Netflix's weekly top-10 rankings and any mid-week viewership updates traders can access will influence sentiment. Major entertainment news—cancellations, renewals, or casting announcements—can also redirect audience attention and reshape expectations for the #1 show's weekly performance.