TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
$
This market tracks whether the number-one show on Netflix will accumulate at least 6 million views during a given week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that Netflix's top show will reach at least 6 million views—stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by Netflix's official viewing chart published on June 2, 2026, which will confirm whether the #1 show has achieved at least 18 million cumulative views. Watch for Netflix's weekly chart update on June 2, 2026, to see which show claims the top position and whether it crosses the viewership threshold.
On Kalshi, the How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week? event is priced around the top outcome: Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 30 million views? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices reflecting the probability of that threshold being met. The current market price implies 100.0% chance of the outcome occurring. As new viewership data, Netflix announcements, or competitive releases emerge, the price adjusts dynamically. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether the #1 show will cross the 30 million view benchmark by market close.
The How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week? market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Netflix viewership data for the specified week, which Netflix periodically releases through its public reports and industry announcements. The exact criteria for what constitutes the #1 show and how views are counted follow Kalshi's event specifications. Traders should monitor Netflix's official communications and entertainment news outlets for viewership announcements leading up to the resolution date.
Several catalysts could shift odds for this event. Major Netflix releases or surprise hit shows could alter which title holds the #1 position and its total views. Celebrity news, critical reviews, or viral social media moments can drive viewership spikes. Competing entertainment releases on other platforms may cannibalize viewers. Netflix's own promotional campaigns and subscriber growth announcements influence expectations. Industry reports on streaming trends, subscriber churn, or password-sharing impacts also matter. Real-time viewership leaks or early data from entertainment tracking firms can move the market significantly as the resolution date approaches.