TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Entertainment
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
polymarket

How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

Volume:
$6,579

32M+

 - Polymarket

32M+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 4:55 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

32M+

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

27M+

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$919
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

15M+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$778
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

18M+

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$698
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

22M+

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

20M+

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

25M+

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. Analysts may issue projections based on historical data, pre-release buzz, and modeling, while traders on Polymarket adjust prices based on real-time sentiment, news, and betting patterns. This can lead to divergence when sudden events — like a viral marketing campaign or critical review — shift public interest sharply in either direction.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome will be based on the officially reported number of views for the week’s top-ranked movie on Netflix, as reflected in publicly available data sources and platform announcements.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 18, 2026. Major promotional events, such as celebrity endorsements or featured placements on Netflix’s homepage, might boost views and raise trading odds. Conversely, negative press, technical issues, or competition from new releases could suppress viewership expectations. Additionally, weekend usage patterns — when streaming typically spikes — often cause short-term volatility in trader sentiment and market pricing.