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404,028
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Kalshi:
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At least 25 million
- Kalshi
At least 25 million - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 10, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the popularity of the top movie on Netflix's English-language global chart for a specific week, focusing on how many times it was viewed. Participants can speculate on whether the view count will meet certain thresholds, reflecting audience engagement and viewing trends.
Kalshi
The event determines whether the number of views for the #1 Movie on Netflix’s Global "Movies | English" chart, as published on August 11, 2026, meets or exceeds various specified thresholds. All markets share the same secondary rules, which clarify that "views" refer to the count of individual viewings rather than total viewing hours, and that the chart reflects weekly data ending the Sunday before the Tuesday update. Each primary rule defines a distinct threshold—from 6 million to 50 million views—and resolves to "Yes" if the published figure meets or exceeds that threshold. The markets close at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart’s publication, and no endorsement from Netflix is implied.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced outlook. Analysts may issue views based on historical trends, marketing data, and release schedules, while traders react to real-time factors like social media buzz, competing releases, and viewing patterns. The market price can therefore diverge from or align with expert predictions depending on emerging sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the view count for the top movie on Netflix this week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number will be set based on the official Netflix data release, closing all contracts according to the rules of the platform.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major marketing pushes, social media trends, or unexpected competition from new releases could drive viewership higher or lower. Additionally, any significant platform changes on Netflix, like algorithm updates or interface tweaks, may influence user behavior and therefore impact trader sentiment and pricing in the coming days.
