TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
More than 3 weeks
- Kalshi
More than 3 weeks - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 23, 2026
Closed: Jun 16, 11:35 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Drake's album ICEMAN will hold the number one position on the Billboard 200 chart for more than four consecutive weeks. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 1.0% probability, with the second outcome also at 1.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by Billboard 200 chart data, with the betting period closing on December 30, 2026.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by tracking consecutive weeks that "ICEMAN" by Drake maintains the #1 position on the Billboard 200. The market closes the following 10am ET after either the achievement occurs or the streak ends. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific threshold: more than 1 week, more than 2 weeks, more than 3 weeks, more than 4 weeks, more than 5 weeks, more than 6 weeks, more than 7 weeks, or more than 8 weeks of consecutive #1 placement. Only the first streak the song achieves at #1 is considered for resolution purposes.
Frequently asked questions
The How many straight weeks will Iceman be #1 market resolves on Dec 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by official chart data documenting how many consecutive weeks Iceman holds the number one position. The outcome depends on real-world chart performance tracked through the resolution date, with the final count of unbroken weeks at the top determining which outcome bracket settles. Traders should monitor chart releases and official announcements leading up to the end date to assess whether Iceman maintains or loses its number one ranking.
Key signals that could shift odds include weekly chart releases showing whether Iceman holds or loses the number one spot, competing song releases that challenge its dominance, streaming and radio airplay trends, and artist promotional activity. Major cultural moments or media coverage can boost or diminish momentum. Chart performance in key markets, playlist placements on major platforms, and competitor chart trajectories all influence trader expectations. Additionally, any unexpected developments in the music industry or shifts in listener preference could accelerate or reverse Iceman's chart trajectory, directly impacting the probability of extended consecutive weeks at number one.
