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How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?
Companies
polymarket

How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?

Aug 7, 2026, 1:14 PM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$5,388
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$2,279
309%
Open interest:
$3,072N/A

13

 - Polymarket

13 - Polymarket

94%

+35%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 25

Aug 26

Aug 27

Vol.

$129.4

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 03d:09h:13m

Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in August 2026?

94%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 94¢ buys you 106 shares | Odds: 94% Total Payout: $106 | Net Profit: $6 Multiplier: 1.06x | ROI: 6% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that differ from some analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide their own projections for SpaceX activity, the odds here capture the collective wisdom of participants betting on the actual outcome. Any significant shift in these odds often follows new information about launch schedules or delays.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the number of launches is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will be determined by official SpaceX announcements and confirmed tracking data, closing the market based on factual results.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 31, 2026. Major announcements from SpaceX regarding mission schedules, rocket development delays, or regulatory approvals may cause rapid re-pricing. Geopolitical tensions or budget changes affecting aerospace programs might also influence trader sentiment. Natural disasters or technical failures could delay planned launches, moving probabilities downward. Conversely, successful test flights or additional contract awards could push expectations higher as we approach the resolution date.