TOTAL VOLUME:

$115b

24H VOL:

$136,758,144

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,328,568,758

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,203,416,144

319,420

Markets across

31,372

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,061

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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2nd Largest Company end of August?
limitless
polymarket
predict

2nd Largest Company end of August?

Total volume:
$425,526
Volume 24h:
$2,134
85%
Liquidity:
$4,572,665
620%
Open interest:
$87,321N/A

Tesla

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 09d:05h:02m

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 99.7¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.3% | APY: 13% 9 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Tesla

Trade
100%
Yes 99.7¢No 0.3¢
—
$3,604
$5
0%
0%
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
polymarket

Tesla

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$40,072
$6,221
0%
0%
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
50%
Yes 49.9¢No 50.1¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Microsoft

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$29,932
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
polymarket

Microsoft

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$46,024
$34,600
0.1%
0.35%
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Broadcom

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$29,772
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
polymarket

Broadcom

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$41,440
$4,107
0%
0%
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Alphabet

Trade
100%
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢
—
$29,930
$3
0%
100%
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
polymarket

Alphabet

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 3.2¢No 97¢
0.2¢
$33,131
$130,270
0.36%
27%
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
51.5%
Yes 51.4¢No 48.7¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
predict

Amazon

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$29,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
polymarket

Amazon

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$45,592
$4,522
0%
0%
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Saudi Aramco

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$29,710
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
polymarket

Saudi Aramco

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$56,163
$4,925
0%
0%
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
predict

Apple

Trade
97%
Yes 98¢No 3.6¢
1.6¢
$3,971,602
$5,281
0.65%
20%
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
polymarket

Apple

Trade
97%
1%
Yes 96.6¢No 3.5¢
0.1¢
$31,421
$149,915
0.86%
27%
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
97%
Yes 97.3¢No 3.6¢
Avg: 0.9¢Max: 1.6¢
polymarket

NVIDIA

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.4¢
0.2¢
$53,980
$84,070
0.38%
41%
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
predict

NVIDIA

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.7¢
0.5¢
$100,670
$1,536
0%
253%
N/A
1w 2d 5h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.6¢
Avg: 0.4¢Max: 0.5¢
limitless

Google (GOOG) Up or Down - Weekly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
3.6¢
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 17

Intro

This market tracks whether Tesla will be the second-largest company in the world by market cap as of the market close on August 31, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for Tesla being the second-largest company stands at 99.8% across Limitless, Polymarket, and Predict. Resolution will be determined by a consensus of credible financial reporting from sources such as Bloomberg, Reuters, and S&P Global Market Intelligence. Watch the market close on August 31, 2026, as the key date for final determination.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms resolve to the same outcome — the second-largest company by market cap as of August 31, 2026 market close — using credible reporting sources.Primary resolution logic: Consensus of credible financial reporting (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, S&P Global Market Intelligence)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the company occupying the second-largest market cap position as of the market close on August 31, 2026.
  • Market cap is calculated using the most recent share price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares.
  • If the second place is occupied by a company not explicitly listed in the market options, the 'any other company' market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • All markets share the same settlement date and use the same definition of market capitalization.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie for Second Place: If two companies are tied for second place, the market resolves to the company with the higher share price at market close on August 31, 2026. If still tied, the market resolves to 'any other company'.
  • Corporate Actions: Mergers, acquisitions, or other corporate actions occurring before August 31, 2026 will be reflected in the market cap calculation based on the post-action share count and price.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the market close on August 31, 2026, using data available no later than September 1, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Predict

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for Google (Pyth GOOG/USD) on August 14, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for Google (Pyth GOOG/USD) on August 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The price for Google (Pyth GOOG/USD) captured on August 7, 2026 was $353.50000. Resolution source: Pyth GOOG/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day. If Google (GOOG) does not trade at all during the regular session on August 14, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which GOOG is listed will be used to determine the price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting GOOG during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the 2nd largest company market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time odds, trading volume, and consensus trends. It displays cumulative volume of $425,526 and recent 24-hour volume of $2,134, letting users compare how this market evolves across platforms. The view updates continuously, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment toward which firm may claim the world’s second-largest market capitalization by the deadline.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination depends on widely recognized sources tracking market capitalization figures at that specific time, ensuring an objective and transparent close.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 31, 2026. Earnings surprises from top contenders, regulatory announcements affecting market valuations, or macro economic shifts like interest-rate decisions may reshape trader expectations. Mergers, acquisitions, or sudden leadership changes could also reshape perceptions of which firm stands to become the world’s second-largest company by market cap at the close of trading on resolution day.