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How many Pentakills will there be at MSI 2026?
polymarket
limitless

How many Pentakills will there be at MSI 2026?

Volume:
$12,215

1+

 - Polymarket

1+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,971
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

3+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Any player to score a Pentakill at MSI 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$50
$1,534
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

4+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group measures the total number of Pentakills (one player achieving five enemy champion kills in quick succession) that will occur across all games at the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 League of Legends tournament. Markets track whether the total will reach various thresholds (1+, 2+, 3+, 4+) and whether at least one Pentakill will occur.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms define Pentakills identically, use official Riot Games sources with GOL.GG as secondary reference, and apply consistent cancellation and postponement rules with NO resolution outcomes.Primary resolution logic: Riot Games official lolesports.com (https://lolesports.com/) with GOL.GG tournament statistics (https://gol.gg/tournament/list/) as verification source; credible reporting consensus if primary sources unavailable

Core resolution logic:

  • A Pentakill is defined as one player being credited with five enemy champion kills in quick succession during a single game
  • Polymarket markets resolve YES if total Pentakills meet or exceed the stated threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, 4+); otherwise NO
  • Limitless market resolves YES if any player scores at least one Pentakill; otherwise NO
  • Both platforms resolve to NO if MSI 2026 is canceled before start or postponed beyond cutoff dates
  • If tournament concludes early or is shortened, resolution uses available statistics from completed games only
  • If primary sources (lolesports.com or GOL.GG) are unavailable for 72 hours, consensus of credible reporting is used

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation Before Start: Market resolves to NO if MSI 2026 is canceled before it begins
  • Tournament Postponement Beyond Cutoff: Polymarket: NO if postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET; Limitless: NO if postponed beyond July 31, 2026 23:59 UTC
  • Early Tournament Conclusion: Resolution uses available statistics from all completed games; partial tournaments are counted in full
  • Data Unavailability: If GOL.GG or lolesports.com unavailable and remains so for 72 hours, credible reporting consensus determines outcome
  • Early Resolution Trigger: Limitless market may resolve as soon as first Pentakill is confirmed on GOL.GG, without waiting for tournament conclusion
Timing: Resolution occurs upon tournament conclusion or when Pentakill data is finalized on official sources. Limitless may resolve early upon first confirmed Pentakill. All markets must resolve by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET (Polymarket) or July 31, 2026 23:59 UTC (Limitless), or resolve to NO if data cannot be determined by cutoff.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of pentakills during the 2026 MSI equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No” If MSI 2026 is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the number of pentakills cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". If the tournament concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MSI is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the number of “Pentakills” cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if any player scores at least one Pentakill in any game at MSI 2026, as shown on GOL.GG. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." For the purposes of this market, a Pentakill means a multikill in which one player is credited with five enemy champion kills in quick succession during a single game. Primary resolution source: GOL.GG tournament list: https://gol.gg/tournament/list/ The MSI 2026 tournament page will appear on GOL.GG once the tournament begins. To determine the result, open the MSI 2026 tournament statistics page and scroll to the “Top Multikill” table. The market condition will be satisfied if any player is shown with a value of 1 or higher in the “Pentakill” column. This market may resolve as soon as a Pentakill is shown on the resolution source. If MSI 2026 is canceled before it starts, this market will resolve to "NO." If MSI 2026 is canceled after it starts or postponed/rescheduled beyond July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve based on GOL.GG information available at the time of cancellation, postponement, or rescheduling. If GOL.GG is unavailable at the time of resolution and remains unavailable for 72 hours, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Frequently asked questions

The MSI 2026 Pentakills market aggregates prediction activity across Polymarket and Limitless, tracking the total number of pentakills—the rarest and most dominant play in League of Legends—that will occur during the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 tournament. Traders on both platforms are pricing their belief about whether this extreme achievement will happen at all during the event. The dashboard consolidates cross-platform consensus, showing how conviction differs between communities and revealing which outcome currently commands stronger trader confidence across venues.

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on real-money stakes and continuous price discovery, meaning odds shift instantly as new information arrives and traders adjust positions. Traditional sportsbooks, by contrast, set fixed lines and manage liability through limits and manual adjustments. Prediction markets often reflect sharper, more granular conviction because traders face direct financial consequences for mispricing; they also aggregate dispersed knowledge from thousands of participants rather than relying on a small oddsmaking team. For niche esports outcomes like this one, prediction markets may offer more responsive pricing than mainstream sportsbooks.

Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk tolerances. Polymarket may draw more confident bettors on pentakill likelihood, while Limitless could reflect a broader or more cautious user base. Differences in fee structures, user interface, and promotional incentives also shape order flow. Additionally, the exact wording of outcome definitions—whether focusing on any pentakill versus multiple pentakills—can subtly shift how traders interpret and price the same underlying event, creating natural divergence even when both platforms track the same tournament.

Major roster announcements, team compositions, and patch changes leading up to MSI 2026 will shape trader expectations about game pace and kill potential. High-profile scrimmages or regional playoffs showing aggressive meta shifts could increase or decrease pentakill likelihood. As the tournament approaches, updated odds from other prediction platforms and esports analyst commentary will influence sentiment. During the event itself, early matches demonstrating either stomp-heavy or close-game patterns will drive real-time repricing. Any meta shifts favoring high-damage champions or snowballing mechanics could significantly boost conviction that a pentakill will occur.